Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

COVID

 

 

Month 5

Month 7

Movement

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Director of Families, Children & Learning

0

0

0

0

 

Health, SEN & Disability Services

858

652

(206)

4

Children's disability residential placements deferred due to lack of suitable market provision.

Education & Skills

84

66

(18)

(91)

 

Children's Safeguarding & Care

(452)

(443)

9

0

 

Quality Assurance & Performance

33

13

(20)

0

 

Total Families, Children & Learning

523

288

(235)

(87)

 

Adult Social Care

1,150

232

(918)

(2)

Hospital Discharge COVID-19 funding extended to March 2022.

S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT)

(843)

(1,196)

(353)

0

Hospital Discharge COVID-19 funding extended to March 2022.

Integrated Commissioning

233

154

(79)

0

 

Public Health

0

0

0

4

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(1,313)

(1,157)

156

0

Achievement of Recovery Measures included in forecast above.

Total Health & Adult Social Care

(773)

(1,967)

(1,194)

2

 

Transport

2,130

1,278

(852)

(596)

Improvement in the forecast income within Parking Services for Permit income (£0.110m), Off street parking income (£0.216m) and PCN income (£0.285m). There are also reductions in the expenditure forecast for off street car parking costs of £0.080m. Additional forecast income within Traffic Management of £0.177m, of which Hoardings accounts for £0.150m and Traffic Regulation Orders £0.025m. Improvements to the latest estimate of the Sales, Fees & Charges (SFC) grant for losses in the first quarter generating additional grant income of £0.015m. This figure is offset with the balance of under accrued SFC grant relating to 2020/21 of £0.031m.

City Environmental Management

429

627

198

(20)

Net additional costs of £0.141m paid to staff for catch up work following industrial action. Reductions in commercial income forecast of £0.173m plus revised costings of commercial waste disposal of £0.116m. Further reductions in vehicle costs of £0.201m. Reductions in supplies & services of £0.012m and staffing of £0.021m in Strategy & Projects. Net increase to supplies & services of £0.026m in City Parks.  Improvements to the latest estimate of the SFC grant for losses in the first quarter generating additional grant income of £0.020m

City Development & Regeneration

247

331

84

30

Reduction in planning control applications income of £0.097m but also reduction in staffing and supplies & services expenditure forecasts of £0.044m. Revised estimate of SFC grant due to be claimed based on eligible losses has increased the overspend by £0.030m

Culture, Tourism & Sport

570

362

(208)

(45)

Further forecast underachievement of Outdoor Events Income of £0.034m. Improvements to Income forecast within Venues and Tourism & Marketing of £0.149m. Improvements to the latest estimate of the Sales, Fees & Charges grant for losses in the first quarter generating additional grant income of £0.066m. Net balance of SFC grant relating to 2020/21 that was over accrued by (£0.022m)

Property

53

118

65

0

The pressure has increased since Month 5 because of estimated additional gas costs due to the national and international price increases, agreement of rent reductions and some additional security costs.

Total Economy, Environment & Culture

3,429

2,716

(713)

(631)

 

Housing General Fund

3,653

1,635

(2,018)

(2,379)

Use of 2021/22 COMF (£1.615m), reduction in net costs relating to emergency hotels (£0.764m), increased forecast for TA £0.191m, reduced forecast overspend for commissioned services (£0.047m), forecast overspend for seaside homes £0.253m, reduced forecast for adaptations (£0.068m).

Libraries

145

123

(22)

0

 

Communities, Equalities & Third Sector

0

(75)

(75)

0

Staff vacancies.

Safer Communities

0

(80)

(80)

0

Staff vacancies.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(1,815)

0

1,815

1,815

Use of 2021/22 unallocated COMF grant (£1.615m) and service recovery plan to reduce the numbers of households in Emergency hotels and emergency accommodation (£0.200m).

Total Housing, Neighbourhoods & Communities

1,983

1,603

(380)

(564)

 

Finance (Mobo)

(35)

(35)

0

0

 

HR & Organisational Development (Mobo)

19

83

64

0

Staffing cost pressures in the union facilities time.

IT&D (Mobo)

0

0

0

0

 

Procurement (Mobo

172

172

0

0

 

Business Operations (Mobo)

0

0

0

0

 

Revenues & Benefits (Mobo)

0

0

0

0

 

Housing Benefit Subsidy

327

327

0

0

 

Contribution to Orbis

497

617

120

0

Increased overspend in the Orbis Partnership.

Total Finance & Resources

980

1,164

184

0

 

Corporate Policy

0

0

0

0

 

Legal Services

(25)

(25)

0

0

 

Democratic & Civic Office Services

(9)

7

16

0

Minor variances.

Life Events

26

51

25

0

Worsening income pressure in Bereavement.

Performance, Improvement & Programmes

0

0

0

0

 

Communications

(11)

(70)

(59)

0

Mainly due to improved forecast in recharge income.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

0

 

Total Strategy, Governance & Law

(19)

(37)

(18)

0

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

0

0

0

0

 

Capital Financing Costs

(1,866)

(2,040)

(174)

0

Combination of increased investment income and increased underspend on interest payable.

Levies & Precepts

0

0

0

0

 

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

0

0

0

0

 

Unringfenced Grants

0

(139)

(139)

0

Releasing unused pressure funding for grant reductions and additional allocation for Extended Rights to Free Transport.

Other Corporate Items

(98)

1,808

1,906

0

Increase in pay costs due to the increase in the NJC pay award offer (£0.321m), increasing the council’s minimum pay grade (£0.491m) and resolving the recent industrial dispute (£1.094m). 

Total Corporately-held Budgets

(1,964)

(371)

1,593

0

 

Total General Fund

4,159

3,396

(763)

(1,280)